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He said he’s surprised at just how much chatter he’s hearing about people wanting to leave. “A lot of it is gossip and it’s too early to have hard data,” he said. “But the gossip is super interesting and revealing in some way.”

Neutral analysts like Evan Horowitz of the Tufts Center for State Policy Analysis who called the cap-gains cut and her proposed estate tax reforms “just tax cuts that benefit wealthy people.”

Radio Boston hosts discussion of the plan and what it means for residents with Evan Horowitz, executive director of The Center for State Policy Analysis

Evan Horowitz, executive director of The Center for State Policy Analysis, delved into Gov. HMaura ealey’s budget and tax package.

A recent report by the Tufts University’s Center for State Policy Analysis estimated the state will collect about $1.3 billion in 2023 from the roughly 26,000 wealthy households that will likely be subject to the surtax.

“There are some tax cuts that help wealthy people that are also good for competitiveness. And then there are some tax cuts that just help wealthy people, and these are closer to the latter,” said Horowitz.

“Sometimes tax cuts that benefit wealthy people also are important for competitiveness. Sometimes they’re not — they’re just tax cuts that benefit wealthy people,” he said.

"It has a long term cost of roughly nearly a billion dollars a year. That's a pretty significant permanent tax change to the tax system," said Evan Horowitz, executive director at the Center for State Policy Analysis at Tufts University. "

Efforts to avoid the tax could mean a cut in the expected revenue by $800 million. “Together, cross-border moves and tax avoidance would reduce millionaires tax revenue by roughly 35 percent,” the center said.